This Is Just to Say Essay Example for Free

This Is Just to Say Essay Out of all the poems that we have viewed in the first two weeks of class the one that caught my attention was the poem by William Carlos Williams, â€Å"This is Just to Say†. This poem was so short and so simple but seemed to be so much more than what it really is. The poem by William Carlos Williams; â€Å"This is Just to Say† is difficult to dissect. In shorter poems the perception of what it actually means I feel is harder to find. Being the poem is only 28 words and no word is over 3 syllables it seems that this was an intended note left for someone to find. This poem; This is Just to Say was written in 1934 and it is still unknown to whom or what the poem was intended for. As for I reading this poem it seems as if this was left for a lover. I have intended that this note was left for a lover because they have made the plums the center piece of the poem. Fruits in general are an exotic and forbidden form of love and they use the plums in a seductive way to the reader. I came to the generalization that the plums were not edible for the fact that the last ten words in the poem are; â€Å"forgive me they were delicious so sweet and so cold†; the sender of the poem is pleading for forgiveness for the fact of eating the frozen plums. Also the fact, that the plums were in an icebox so sweet and so cold it feels as if they were not meant for eating. The perspective I am getting from this is that they wanted to let the reader know they were there intended to leave a trace behind and not just a note. It seems as if the writer knew what they were doing and the plums were a significant meaning to the reader and that the poem took little to no time to write. The poem illustrates great detail in so little words giving you an endless amount of thought to why the sender has eaten these so sweet and so cold plums that were in the icebox. The sender seems as if they planned to write their receiver a note and had to input a secret message as to why they actually have written it. In many cases poems are about love and hidden messages that only the writer can tell you the intended meaning of it. Due to the fact that William Carlos Williams never answered the questions asked about this specific poem he wrote in 1934 his answers to all our questions will remain unknown forever.

Recall Bias in Research Design Essay -- Research Methodology

It is most likely every major text on epidemiology involved in retrospective research is influenced by recall bias. Scientists have identified recall bias to occur when accuracy of recall regarding prior exposure is different for cases versus control (RAPHAEL, 1987). The possibility for recall bias exists whenever historical self-report information is elicited from respondents (RAPHAEL, 1987). Therefore, the potential for the occurrence is likely to be greatest in case-control studies or cross-sectional studies with retrospective elements, as well as some cohort prospective and control randomized trial designs (Hassan, 2006). Since recall bias is an undesired element, intended to potentially distort the study, the initial design of research study needs to implement a proper strategy. In construction of the design, an abstract, methods and conclusion alone do not restrict recall bias. To limit the need for recall itself it would be more desirable to depend on scientific data, as is the most obvious choice. However, research does not provide us with this luxury. Thus, one method to restrict or rule out recall bias is the use of actual exposure status verified through unbiased records (RAPHAEL, 1987). Although this method is most limited as it depends on the unbiased records made available in studies. The initial formatting of questionnaires is another consideration to insure research accuracy and validity scale. A popular form is the Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory used in studies eliciting self-report responses (RAPHAEL, 1987). The MMPI has demonstrated successful outcomes and limited recall bias with an analytical approach to cross sectional studies. As assertive measurements to evaluate recall bias are in place, ... ...his evaluated? The valuable status collected during the initial emergency room visit presents the most usable information to this study, making this study reportable. Alcohol and drug use remain globally problematic and therefore epidemiological scientists continue to report findings of research in hopes of communicating its findings and finally the overall focus of making a change for the better. . References; BORGES, g. L.-M. (2005). A CASE-CONTROL STUDY OF ALCOHOL AND SUBSTANCE USE DISORDERS AS RISK FACTORS FOR NON-FATAL INJURY. Oxford Journals , 257-262. Hassan, E. (2006). Recall Bias can be a Threat to Retrospective and Prospective Research Designs . . The Internet Journal of Epidemiologyâ„ ¢ ISSN: 1540-2614 . RAPHAEL, K. (1987). Recall Bias: A Proposal for Assessment and Control. International Journal of Epidemiology , 167-171.

Coyote Blue Chapter 12~13

CHAPTER 12 Cruelly Turn the Steel-Belted Radials of Desire Crow Country – 1973 In the six years since his vision quest Samson had endured almost daily interpretations of the vision by Pokey Medicine Wing. Again and again Samson insisted that it wasn't important, and again and again Pokey forced the boy to recall his experience on the mountain in detail. It was Pokey's responsibility as a self-proclaimed medicine man to bring meaning to the symbols in the vision. Over the years, as Pokey read new meanings, he tried to change his and Samson's lives to fit the message of the medicine dream. â€Å"Maybe Old Man Coyote was trying to tell us that we should turn our dreams into money,† Pokey said. With this interpretation, Pokey dragged Samson into a series of entrepreneurial ventures that ultimately served no purpose except to confirm to the people of Crow Country that Pokey had finally gone full-bore batshit. The first foray into the world of business was a worm ranch. Pokey presented the idea to Samson with the same blind faith with which he told Old Man Coyote stories, and Samson, like so many before him, was captivated with the idea of turning religion into money. Pokey's eyes were lit up with liquor and firelight as he spoke. â€Å"They are building that dam up on the Bighorn River. They tell us that we will prosper from all the people who will come to the reservation to fish and water-ski on the new lake. That's what they told us when they put the Custer Monument here, but whites opened stores and took all the money. This time we will get our share. We'll grow worms and sell them for fishing.† They had no lumber to build the worm beds, so Pokey and Samson went to the Rosebud Mountains and cut lodgepole pines, which they brought down by the pickup load. Through a whole summer they hauled and built until the Hunts Alones' five acres was nearly covered with empty worm beds. Pokey, convinced that their success depended on getting a jump on other prospective worm ranchers, instructed Samson to tell everyone who asked that they were building corrals to hold tiny horses that they were raising for the Little People that lived in the mountains. â€Å"It's easier to keep a secret if people think you're crazy,† Pokey said. With the beds finished, they were faced with the problem of filling them. â€Å"Worms like cow shit,† Pokey said. â€Å"We can get that for free.† Indeed, had Pokey asked any of the ranchers in the area, they would have let him haul away all the manure he needed, but because most of the ranchers were white and Pokey did not trust them, he decided, instead, that he and Samson would steal the cow pies in the dead of night. So it began: sunset, Samson and Pokey driving the old pickup into a pasture, Pokey driving slowly along while Samson followed on foot with a shovel, scooping piles into the bed of the truck, then the two of them stealing away with their reeking load to dump it in the worm beds, then out again. â€Å"The Crow have always been the best horse thieves, Samson,† Pokey said. â€Å"Old Man Coyote would be proud of the trick we have played on the ranchers.† Pokey's enthusiasm mystified Samson, who couldn't muster the same self-satisfaction at stealing something that nobody wanted. Nevertheless, after a month of pasture raids the beds were full and they drove to the bait store in Hardin to buy their breeding stock: night crawlers and red worms, five hundred each. Pokey burnt sage and sweet grass and prayed over the beds and they released the worms into the beds of manure. Then they waited. â€Å"We shouldn't disturb them until spring,† Pokey said, but many nights Samson spotted him sneaking out to one of the beds with a trowel, turning over a patch, then skulking away. One night Samson was sneaking out with his own trowel when he saw Pokey on his knees with his face pressed to a bed. He stood up when he sensed the boy behind him. â€Å"You know what I was doing?† Pokey asked. â€Å"No,† Samson said, hiding his trowel behind his back. â€Å"I was listening to the sound of money.† â€Å"You have shit on your ear, Pokey.† From that time forward they were both more careful about their nocturnal progress checks, but neither found worm one. They waited through the cold Montana winter, sure that come spring they would be waist deep in worms and money. Never mind the fact that Yellowtail Dam wouldn't be completed for two more years. After the thaw they marched to the beds together, shovels in hand, to turn over their squirming horn of plenty, but shovel after shovel turned up empty. Into the third bed they began to panic and were wildly slinging shit in the air when Harlan pulled up. â€Å"Digging for horses?† he asked. â€Å"Worms,† Pokey shouted, lifting the veil of secrecy with a single word. â€Å"Where did you get the manure?† â€Å"Around,† Pokey said. â€Å"Around where?† â€Å"The ranches on the res.† Harlan began to laugh and Samson was afraid for a moment that Pokey would brain him with the shovel. â€Å"You were trying to grow worms?† â€Å"Old Man Coyote told us to,† Samson said defensively. â€Å"We let go a thousand worms in here to breed so we could sell 'em to fishermen.† â€Å"I guess Old Man Coyote didn't tell you that cattle ranchers put a wormer in their cattle feed, huh?† â€Å"Wormer?† Pokey said. â€Å"That manure was poison to your worms. They were probably dead ten minutes after you put them in there.† Samson and Pokey looked at each other forlornly, the boy's lower lip swelling with disappointment, the man's temples throbbing with pain. Some people believe that hard work is its own reward and a job well done is a tribute to a man's character; fortunately, none of those people were around or they would have been ducking shovel blows. Pokey and Samson decided to get drunk. Harlan stayed on to coach the boy through his first hangover and run interference with Grandma, who would have skinned the two men had she known they were giving liquor to a twelve-year-old. It was the end of summer, a summer spent in sulking and speculating, before Pokey brought home the goats. He'd obtained the pair, a male and a female, from a dubious source in a Hardin bar by winning a bet that had something to do with a pineapple, a throwing knife, and a waitress named Debbie. Samson had difficulty putting the story together from Pokey's drunken ravings, but he gathered that because Debbie had survived, and the pineapple had not, Pokey had two goats on his hands. â€Å"We could breed 'em and sell 'em for meat,† Pokey said. â€Å"But I got a better idea. Them lawyers and doctors are flying into Montana from the city and paying a thousand bucks a head to shoot bighorn sheep. I say we go to the airport in Billings and wait for one of them to get off a plane, then tell 'em they can come to the res and shoot one for two – three hundred. I can be the faithful Indian guide and lead them all over hell and back, and you can take the goats up into the mountains and tie them up where they can shoot 'em.† Despite Samson's objections that even a city lawyer might know the difference between a bighorn sheep and a nanny goat, Pokey insisted that come morning they would be on the road to riches. Come morning, however, when Samson went outside to look at the goats he found them lying on their backs, legs shot stiff to the sky with rigor mortis, dead as stones. In his excitement Pokey had tied the goats next to a patch of hemlock, and the goats, perhaps sensing what was planned for them, munched their last meal and joined the ranks of Socrates. Not all of Pokey's quests for spiritual capitalism were complete failures. He and Samson made a little money with the ;authentic; Indian fry-bread taco stand they set up outside of the Custer Battlefield National Monument, until the health department objected to the presence of marmot and raccoon meat in their all-beef tacos. And they did make forty dollars selling eagle feathers to tourists (actually the feathers of two buzzards that had dined on tainted goat carcass), which they used to buy marijuana seeds that produced a respectable crop of grape-sized casaba melons. (Harlan referred to this as the magic beans incident.) And finally, while Samson was busy with school and basketball and a developing obsession with girls, Pokey turned to prostitution and made five bucks from the owner of the Hardin 7-Eleven who paid the shaman to take his sandwich sign and go stand somewhere else. Samson was fifteen by the time Pokey decided that perhaps they were not meant to turn their dreams into money. Once again he sat the boy down in the kitchen to recount the vision. â€Å"Pokey, I don't even remember much of the vision, and besides, how important could it be? I was only nine.† Samson's friend Billy Two Irons was waiting outside to drive them to a  «forty-nine » party at the Yellowtail Dam and Samson was not in the mood to be cross-examined about an event that he was trying desperately to leave behind, along with the rest of the trappings of childhood. â€Å"Do you know why the Crow never fought the white man?† Pokey asked gravely. â€Å"Oh, fuck, Pokey, not now. I've got to get going.† â€Å"Do you know why?† â€Å"No. Why?† â€Å"Because of the vision of a nine-year-old boy. That's why.† As much as Samson wanted to leave, he had spent too many years listening to the Cheyenne and Lakota call his people cowards to walk out now. â€Å"What boy?† he asked. â€Å"Our last great chief, Plenty Coups. When he was nine he went on his first fast, just like you. He cut pieces from his skin and suffered greatly. Finally, his vision came, and he saw the buffalo gone and then he saw the white man's cattle covering the plains. He saw white men everywhere, but he saw none of our people. The medicine chiefs heard his vision and said that it was a message. The Lakota and the Cheyenne had fought the white men and lost their lands. The vision meant that if we fought the white men we would lose our land and be wiped out. Our chiefs decided not to fight and the Crow survived. We are here because of the vision of a nine-year-old boy.† â€Å"That's great, Pokey,† Samson said, having gained nothing useful from the story. He was not going to quell any ridicule from non-Crows by telling them that his people had changed their way of life over a mystical vision. It was hard enough trying to live down the reputation of his crazy uncle as it was. â€Å"I have to go now.† He grabbed the drum that Pokey had made him and took off through the living room, high-stepping over his eight younger cousins, who were sprawled on the floor watching cartoons on televsion. â€Å"‘Bye, Grandma,† he tossed over his shoulder to his grandmother, who sat in a tattered easy chair among the kids, adding the final touches to a beaded belt she was making for him. In front of the Hunts Alone house a tall, acne-speckled Billy Two Irons was pouring a jug of water into the radiator of a twenty-year-old Ford Fairlane. Most of the water was draining out of the bottom of the engine onto the ground at his feet. â€Å"That thing going to make it up to Yellowtail?† Samson called. â€Å"No problem, bro,† Billy said without looking up. â€Å"I got twenty milk jugs of water in the backseat for the trip up. Coming home's downhill most of the way.† â€Å"You fix the exhaust leak?† â€Å"Yep, tomato can and a hose clamp. Works fine as long as you keep the window down.† â€Å"How about the brakes?† Samson was staring over Billy's shoulder into the greasy cavern of the engine compartment. Billy capped the radiator and slammed the hood before he answered. â€Å"You let it coast down to about ten miles an hour and throw it in reverse it'll stop on a dime.† â€Å"Then let's do it.† Samson jumped into the car. Billy threw the empty milk jug into the backseat, climbed in, and began cranking the engine. Samson looked back to the house and saw Pokey coming out the front door waving at them. â€Å"Hit it, man,† Samson said. â€Å"Let's go.† The car finally fired up just as Pokey reached the window. He shouted to be heard over the din of the damaged muffler. â€Å"You boys watch out for Enos, now.† â€Å"We will, Pokey,† Samson said as they pulled away. Then he turned to Billy Two Irons. â€Å"Is Anus working nights again?† Anus was the name they used for Enos Windtree, a fat, meanspirited half-breed BIA cop who liked nothing better than to terrorize kids partying at some remote spot on the res. Once, at a forty-nine party near Lodge Grass, Samson and Billy and nearly twenty others were drinking and singing with the drums when Samson heard a distinct, sickening series of mechanical clicks right by his ear: the sound of a twelve-gauge shell being jacked into a riot gun. When he turned to the noise Enos hit him in the chest with the butt of the gun, knocking him to the ground. Then Enos shot the lights and windshields out of two cars before sending everyone on their way. When Samson told the story, people just said he was just lucky Enos hadn't hit him in the face, or shot somebody. There were rumors that it had happened before. And people were dying on the Lakota r eservation at Pine Ridge, killed by the tribal police in what amounted to a civil war. â€Å"Enos works whenever he can find someone to fuck with,† Billy said. â€Å"I'd like to hang that fat fuck's scalp from my lodgepole.† â€Å"Oooooo, brave warrior, heap big pissed off,† Samson chided in pidgin – speaking Tonto, they called it. â€Å"You telling me you wouldn't want to see Anus's head through a rifle scope?† â€Å"Yeah, if I thought I could get away with it. But a rifle would be too quick.† For an hour and a half, between stops to add water to the radiator, they theorized on the best way to do away with Enos Windtree. When they finally arrived at the party it had been decided that Enos should have his entire body abraded with a belt sander and a two-inch hole saw slowly driven through his skull with a drill press. (Samson and Billy had just finished with their first year of shop class and were still fascinated by the macabre potential of every power tool they had used; this fascination, of course, was fed by their shop teacher, a seven-fingered white man who described in detail every accident that had mangled, mutilated, or murdered some careless shop student since the turn of the century. The teacher had been so successful in instilling respect for the tools in the boys that Billy Two Irons had taken to skipping two classes after shop to mellow out and would have had a nervous breakdown had Samson not finished building his friend's birdhouse for him.) Billy pulled the Fairlane slowly onto the dam and up to a dozen cars that were parked haphazardly on the three-hundred-foot structure. He threw the car into reverse and gunned the engine until the transmission screamed in protest and the car stopped in a jerking, squealing mechanical seizure. Samson was out of the car in an instant and a warm wind coming off the newly formed reservoir washed over him with the scent of sage. Twenty people were gathered at the rail of the dam, beating drums and singing a song of heartbreak and betrayal in Crow. Samson scanned the faces in the moonlight, recognizing and dismissing each until he spotted Ellen Black Feather, and smiled. She was wearing jeans and a T-shirt. Her long hair was blowing in a black comet tail behind her, her shirt was wrapped tight around her in the wind, and Samson noticed, to his delight, that she was braless. She saw Samson and returned his smile. It was perfect. Just as he had envisioned it on a dozen nights while he lay in the dark with his cousins sleeping around him. They would sing and drink for a while, maybe smoke a joint if somebody had one, then he and Ellen would finish the evening in the backseat of the Fairlane. He walked to Ellen and sat beside her on the rail of the dam, oblivious to the three-hundred-foot drop behind him. As he started to beat his drum and sing he looked back to the car to see Billy adding water to the radiator. It suddenly occurred to him that if he were going to enjoy the favors of Ellen Black Feather in the back of Billy's car, it would be a good idea to move the twenty jugs of water first. He excused himself with a pat on her knee and returned to the car. â€Å"Billy, help me get these jugs into the trunk.† â€Å"They're all empty, don't worry about them.† â€Å"I'm going to need the space. Just open the trunk, okay?† Billy handed him the car keys. â€Å"Hunts Alone, you are a hopeless horndog.† Samson grinned, then took the keys and ran around to the back of the car. He was loading his first armload of jugs into the trunk when he heard a car pass by and the singing abruptly stopped. Samson looked up to see the green tribal police car stopping in the middle of the partiers, some thirty yards away. â€Å"Fuck. It's Anus,† Billy said. â€Å"Let's get out of here.† â€Å"No, not yet.† Samson eased the trunk lid down and joined Billy at the front of the car. They watched Enos Windtree climb out of the car and reach back in for his nightstick. The partiers stood stock-still, as if they were standing near a rattlesnake that would strike at the first movement, but their eyes were darting around looking for possible lanes of escape. All except for Ernest Bulltail, the biggest and meanest of the group, who met Enos's gaze straight on. â€Å"This is an illegal gathering,† Enos rasped as he swaggered up to Ernest. â€Å"You all know it, and I know it. The fine is two hundred dollars, payable right now. Cough it up.† Enos punctuated his demand by driving the end of his nightstick into Ernest's solar plexus, doubling the big man over. Ernest made an effort to straighten up and Enos hit him across the face with the nightstick. One of the other men stepped forward but froze when Enos dropped his hand to the Magnum strapped to his hip. â€Å"Now for my fine,† Enos said. â€Å"Fuck you, Anus!† someone screamed, and Samson's heart sank as he realized that it was Ellen. Enos turned from Ernest and started for the girl. â€Å"I know how you're going to pay up,† Enos said to Ellen with a leer. Samson knew he had to do something, but he wasn't sure what. Billy was tugging on his sleeve, trying to get him to go, but he was fixated on Enos and Ellen. Why hadn't they brought a weapon? He moved to the back of the car and opened the trunk. â€Å"What are you doing?† Billy whispered. â€Å"Looking for a weapon.† â€Å"I don't have a gun in the car.† â€Å"This,† Samson said, holding up a tire iron. â€Å"Against a three fifty-seven? Are you nuts?† Billy grabbed the tire iron and wrenched it out of Samson's hand. Samson was almost in tears now with frustration. He looked back up the dam to see Enos, his gun at Ellen's head, putting his free hand under her shirt. Samson pushed Billy aside, then reached into the trunk and pulled out the spare tire. He began creeping up the dam, cradling the heavy spare in his arms. The others watched him, eyes wide with fear. Ten yards away from Enos he started running, the tire held out in front of him. â€Å"Enos!† Samson shouted. The fat policeman pulled away from Ellen and was bringing up his gun to fire when the tire hit him in the chest and drove him back over the railing. Samson followed, tumbling halfway over the rail before someone caught the back of his shirt and tugged him back. He didn't turn to see who it was, he just stared over the railing at the dam wall that disappeared into the darkness two hundred feet below. The others joined him at the rail and several minutes passed before the stunned silence was broken by Billy Two Irons. â€Å"I just had that spare fixed,† he said. Part 2 The Call to Action CHAPTER 13 Forget What You Know Crow Country – 1973 Of all the people who had seen Enos go over the side of the dam, only Billy Two Irons seemed to have avoided a state of stunned silence. While the others were still staring over the edge into the darkness, Billy was already formulating a plan to save his friend. â€Å"Samson, come here.† Samson looked back at Billy. He was beginning to shiver with unused adrenaline; a look of dreamy confusion had come over him. Billy put his arm around Samson's shoulders and led him away from the railing. â€Å"Look, Samson, you're going to have to run.† A moment passed and Samson did not answer until Billy jostled him. â€Å"Run?† â€Å"You have to get off the res and not come back for a long time, maybe never. Everyone here is going to think that they're going to keep this a secret, but when the cops start kicking ass, your name is going to come out. You've got to go, man.† â€Å"Where will I go?† â€Å"I don't know, but you have to. Now go get in the car. I'm going to try and raise some money.† Grateful that someone was thinking for him, and because he didn't know what else to do, Samson followed Billy's instructions. He sat in the car and watched his friend going from person to person on the dam collecting money. He closed his eyes and tried to think, but found that there was a movie running on the back of his eyelids: a slow-motion loop of a fat cop with a spare tire in his face going backward over a rail. He snapped his eyes open and stared, unblinking, until they filled with tears. A few minutes later Billy threw a handful of bills on the front seat and climbed in the car. â€Å"I told them you were going to hide out in the mountains and I was getting money for supplies. You should be able to get a long way before the cops figure out that you're not on the res. There's about a hundred bucks here.† Billy started the car and drove off the dam toward Fort Smith. â€Å"Where are we going?† Samson asked. â€Å"First we have to stop and fill up these jugs with water. I'll take you to Sheridan and you can catch a bus there. I don't trust this car to go any further. If we break down in the middle of nowhere you're fucked.† Samson was amazed at his friend's ability to think and act so quickly. Left to himself he knew he would still be staring over the dam wondering what had happened. Instead he was on his way to Wyoming. â€Å"I should go home and tell Grandma that I'm going.† â€Å"You can't. I'll tell them tomorrow. And once you're gone you can't call or write either. That's how the cops will find you.† â€Å"How do you know that?† â€Å"That's how they caught my brother,† Billy said. â€Å"He wrote a letter from New Mexico. The FBI had him in two days after that.† â€Å"But†¦Ã¢â‚¬  â€Å"Look, Samson, you killed a cop. I know you didn't mean to, but that won't matter. If they catch you they'll shoot you before you get a chance to tell what happened.† â€Å"But everyone saw.† â€Å"Everyone there was Crow, Samson. They won't believe a bunch of fucking Indians.† â€Å"But Enos was Crow – part Crow, anyway.† â€Å"He was an apple, only red on the outside.† Samson started to protest again but Billy shushed him. â€Å"Start thinking about where you're going to go.† â€Å"Where do you think I should go?† â€Å"I don't know. You just need to disappear. Don't tell me where you're going when you figure it out, either. I don't want to know. You could try and pass for white. With those light eyes you might pull it off. Change your name, dye your hair.† â€Å"I don't know how to be white.† â€Å"How hard can it be?† Billy said. Samson wanted to talk to someone besides Billy Two Irons, someone who didn't make as much sense: Pokey. He realized that for all his craziness, all his ravings, all his drinking and ritual mumbo jumbo, Pokey was the person he most trusted in the world. But Billy was right: going home would be a mistake. Instead he tried to imagine what Pokey would say about escaping into the white world. Well, first, Samson thought, he would never admit that there was a white world. According to Pokey there was only the world of the Crow – of family and clans and medicine and balance and Old Man Coyote. The white man was simply a disease that had put the Crow world out of balance. Samson tried to look into the future to see where he would go, what he would do, but any plans he had ever made – and there hadn't been many – were no longer valid, and the future was a thick, white fog that would allow him to see only as far as the bus station in Sheridan, Wyoming. He felt a panic rising in his chest like a scream, then it came to him: this was just a different type of Coyote Blue. He was trying to look into the future too far and it was ruining his balance. He needed to focus on right now, and eventually he would learn what he needed to know when the future got to him. What did Pokey always say? â€Å"If you are going to learn, you need to forget what you know.† â€Å"Don't use all your money for the bus ticket,† Billy said. â€Å"Once you get out of the area you can hitchhike.† â€Å"Did you learn all this when your brother got in trouble?† â€Å"Yeah, he writes me letters from prison about what he did wrong.† â€Å"He put a bomb in a BIA office. How many letters can that take?† â€Å"Not that. What he did wrong to get caught.† â€Å"Oh,† Samson said. Two hours later Samson was climbing on a bus headed for Elko, Nevada, carrying with him everything he owned: twenty-three dollars, a pocketknife, and a small buckskin bundle. He took a window seat in the back of the bus and stared out over the dark countryside, really seeing nothing, as he tried to imagine where he would end up. His fear of getting away was almost greater than his fear of being caught. At least if he were caught his fate would be in someone else's hands. After an hour or so on the road Samson sensed that the bus was slowing down. He looked around for a reaction from the other passengers, but except for an old lady in the front who was engrossed in a romance novel, they were all asleep. The driver downshifted and Samson felt the big diesel at his back roar as the bus pulled into the passing lane. Out his window he saw the back of a long, powder-blue car. As the bus moved up Samson watched the big car glide below him, seeming to go on forever. He saw the back of the driver's head, then his face. It was the fat salesman from his vision. Samson twisted in his seat, trying to get a better look as they passed. The salesman seemed to see him through the blackout windows of the bus and raised a bottle of Coke as if toasting Samson. â€Å"Did you see that?† Samson cried to the old lady. â€Å"Did you see that car?† The old lady turned to him and shook her head, and a cowboy in the next seat groaned. â€Å"Did you see who was in that car?† Samson asked the bus driver, who snickered and shook his head. The cowboy in the next seat was awake now and he pushed his hat from over his eyes. â€Å"Well, son, now that you got me wetting myself in suspense, who was in the car?† â€Å"It was the salesman,† Samson said. The cowboy stared at him for a second in angry disbelief, then pushed his hat back over his eyes and slid back down in his seat. â€Å"I hate fucking Mexicans,† he said.

Essay on The International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2392 Words

The International Monetary Fund, is an international organization established in 1945 as part of the United Nation system. Its creation was conceived at Bretton woods, to â€Å"†¦regulate the rates at which currencies were exchanged among member countries; and it would help ensure international stability by making loans at times of crisis in member countries’ balance of payments.† Since its creation, the IMF have gain enormous power in the international community, specially influencing the economic policies of third world countries. Currently, the IMF have 35 member countries with advance economy or emerging markets, and approximately 153 countries with developing economies; for a total of 188 member countries. Developing countries†¦show more content†¦The paper will argue that during the implementation of the program, the IMF is successful in creating some sort of economic improvement, yet the problems remerge after the program is officially concluded. T he Standard Codes and Principles on which the International Monetary Fund is base, were created by the institution and one of its closer partner, the World Bank. These Standard Codes and Principles are under three groups, Policy Transparency, Financial Sector Regulation and Supervision, and Institutional and Market Infrastructure. The one that was developed by the IMF is policy transparency. Under policy transparency are, fiscal policy, monetary and financial policy transparency, and the standards of data dissemination. Fiscal transparency refers to allowing the public access to information about â€Å"†¦the government’s past, present, and future fiscal activities, and about the structure and functions of government that determine fiscal policies and outcomes† . Monetary and financial policy transparency is a way of strengthening the openness of the institution to the public. According to the IMF, the purpose of monetary and financial policy transparency among its members are to accomplish acceptance from the public of their policies and for â€Å"†¦calls for central banks and financial agenciesShow MoreRelatedInternational Monetary Fund ( Imf )2266 Words   |  10 PagesAims/Purpose International Monetary Fund (IMF) aims to maintain and defeat and sometimes to restrain the financial crises. (BBC, 2012) Basically it was created to avoid another Great Depression with an economical cooperation. It was founded more than 60 years ago at the end of the II World War. (International Monetary Fund, 2015) Mostly the institution has directed to focus the developing world. Nowadays there are few purposes of the IMF such as monetary stability, exchange rate stability, facilitateRead MoreThe International Monetary Fund ( Imf )985 Words   |  4 PagesThe International Monetary Fund (IMF) was one of the many international organizations that emerged after the end of World War II. The primary function of the IMF is to promote the international financial stability and spur monetary cooperation. Many countries see the IMF as a â€Å"lender of last resort† (Thacker, 1999:38), meaning countries borrow money from the Fund for â€Å"short-term balance of payment supportâ⠂¬  (Steinwand and Stone, 2007:11) in order to avert the collapse of their domestic economies.Read MoreThe International Monetary Fund ( Imf )1089 Words   |  5 PagesThe International Monetary Fund (IMF) was established in 1946, along with the World Bank. The IMF was developed to promote all monetary cooperation and remedy economic problems incurred during the post - war reconstruction period (Baylis; 2008: 245). The IMF was therefore considered as the â€Å"rule keeper† and an important component in public international management. In the pursuit to stabilise the exchange rate system, the IMF reserves the authority to change exchange rates. Another vital role isRead MoreInternational Monetary Fund ( Imf )3071 Words   |  13 PagesGLOBAL BUSINESS SUSTAINABILITY INTRODUCTION International Monetary Fund (IMF) is an organization consisting of 188 nations functioning towards global monetary cooperation, ensuring financial stability, minimizing poverty around the world (IMF, 2014). In this report its functions of IMF and its effectiveness have been explained to describe minimizing financial imbalances by the countries. UK has been the main focus in this study. The impact of IMF policies on social and environment in UK and howRead MoreThe International Monetary Fund ( Imf ) Essay2250 Words   |  9 PagesIntroduction: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is an international organization created in 1945 to foster global monetary cooperation, secure financial stability, facilitate international trade, promote high employment and sustainable economic growth, and to reduce poverty around the world. The IMF is governed and accountable to the 189 countries that make up the global membership of the organization. These goals make up the IMFs formal rules, the informal rules allow more access for powerfulRead MoreThe International Monetary Fund ( Imf )1310 Words   |  6 Pagesat how incompetent and politically driven economic policy making drove Europe into prolonged recession and high unemployment. The financial crises and fear of a meltdown slowed world economic growth considerably. In October 2010, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) projected 4.6 percent growth for the global economy in 2013; it ended up being just 3 percent. This difference may not seem like much, but in terms of lost output it is more than $800 billion, and it is not only in the rich countriesRead MoreThe Imf ( International Monetary Fund )941 Words   |  4 PagesThe IMF (International Monetary Fund), also known as the Fund, was conceived at a UN conference in Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, United States, in July 1944. The 44 countries at that conference sought to build a framework for economic cooperation to avoid a repetition of the competitive devaluations that had contributed to the Great Depression of the 1930s (https://www.imf.org/external/about.htm). Currently, the organization is headquartered in Washington, D. C. Originally, the IMF was designedRead MoreThe International Monetary Fund ( Imf )1501 Words   |  7 PagesTHE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND (IMF) The IMF was set up during the Second World War in the year 1944. It started operation in 1947 and it has been working with the UNO since. Its headquarters is in Washington D.C in America. IMF provides short term loans to countries having problems of balance of payments. It also provides technical advice to its members and ensures free flow of trade by removing all trade restrictions. It establishes and maintains stable exchange rate between member countriesRead MoreThe International Monetary Fund ( Imf )6431 Words   |  26 PagesIntroduction In the statement of the 2015 Article IV Consultation Mission to China, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concluded that the Chinese economy was transitioning to a safer and higher-quality growth. In particular, the IMF highlighted that China had made good progress in recent years in reducing its large current account surpluses and its huge accumulation of foreign exchange reserves. Although undervaluation of the yuan was a major factor causing the large imbalances in the past, theRead More The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Essay1888 Words   |  8 PagesThe International Monetary Fund (IMF) International Monetary Fund (IMF), international economic organization whose purpose is to promote international monetary cooperation to facilitate the expansion of international trade. The IMF operates as a United Nations specialized agency and is a permanent forum for consideration of issues of international payments, in which member nations are encouraged to maintain an orderly pattern of exchange rates and to avoid restrictive exchange practices.

Social and Economic Equality of African Americans in America

Social and Economic Equality of African Americans in America The struggle for social and economic equality of Black people in America has been long and slow. It is sometimes amazing that any progress has been made in the racial equality arena at all; every tentative step forward seems to be diluted by losses elsewhere. For every Stacey Koons that is convicted, there seems to be a Texaco executive waiting to send Blacks back to the past. Throughout the struggle for equal rights, there have been courageous Black leaders at the forefront of each discrete movement. From early activists such as Frederick Douglass, Booker T. Washington, and W.E.B. DuBois, to 1960s civil rights leaders and radicals such as Martin Luther King, Malcolm X,†¦show more content†¦Significantly, he argued for submission to the white majority so as not to offend the power elite. Though he preached appeasement and a hands off attitude toward politics, Washington has been accused of wielding imperious power over his people and of consorting with the white elite. William Edward Burghardt DuBois, on the other hand, was more of an idealist. DuBois was born in Massachusetts in 1868, just after the end of the Civil War and the official end of slavery. A gifted scholar, formal education played a much greater role in DuBoiss life than it did in Washingtons. After becoming a Phi Beta Kappa graduate of Fisk and Harvard, he was the first Black to earn a Ph.D. from Harvard in 1895. DuBois wrote over 20 books and more than 100 scholarly articles on the historical and sociological nature of the Black experience. He argued that an educated Black elite should lead Blacks to liberation by advancing a philosophical and intellectual offensive against racial discrimination. DuBois forwarded the argument that The Negro problem was not and could not be kept distinct from other reform movements. . . DuBois favored immediate social and political integration and the higher education of a Talented Tenth of the black population. His main interest was in the education of the group leader, the man who sets the ideas of the community where he lives. . . To this end, he organized the Niagara movement, a meeting of 29 BlackShow MoreRelatedWas Marcus Garvey The Most Significant African American Civil Rights Leader?1606 Words   |  7 PagesTo what extent was Marcus Garvey the most significant African American civil rights leader in the period 1865-1945? The period between 1865 and 1945 saw some of the most dramatic social, political and economic changes in America. The key issue of black civil rights throughout this period was advocated and led by a range of significant, emotive and inspiring leaders. Marcus Garvey was a formidable public speaker and is often named as the most popular black nationalist leader of the early twentiethRead MoreBooker T Washington Vs Dubois Essay702 Words   |  3 Pagesdebate revolved around the idea of abolishing slavery as well as paving the way for the modernized Civil Rights Act in America to take place. Washington and DuBois were born in the same time period with the same intentions, yet had different methods of approaching how to do them. Both of their ideas were focused on how America could be best improved for the future in political, social and educational ways. Booker T. Washington’s perspective and ideologies were better than DuBois’ for many reasons. Read MoreThe Gap Between The White And Black Workforce1106 Words   |  5 Pages(2012) rely on a pool of African-Americans from the 1980s to 2007 to define the barriers to managerial and administrative positions in the workforce within a white hegemonic American labor market. Dependent variable is based on the overarching economic conditions that effect both whites and blacks, and the Independent variable of managerial positions available in the workforce. Quane et al (2015) provide data collected from the U.S. meta-data that describes the economic and social construct of employmentRead MoreEssay on Martin Luther Kings Successful Philosophy1019 Words   |  5 Pagesbrought to America and put into slavery. They were treated more cruelly in the United States than in any other country that had practiced slavery. African Americans didn’t gain their freedom until after the Civil War, nearly one-hundred years later. Even though African Americans were freed and the constitution was amended to guarantee racial equality, they were still not treated the same as whites and were thought of as second class citizens. One man had the right idea on how to change America, MartinRead MoreIndividual Economic Opportunity, Social Equality And Political Democracy1283 Words   |  6 Pages Individual Economic Opportunity, Social Equality and Political Democracy in the 19th Century Name: Institution: Individual Economic Opportunity, Social Equality and Political Democracy in the 19th Century Introduction Between 1865 and 1900, many people looked at United States as a country where individual economic opportunities, social equality and political democracy reigned supreme. One cannot say that this people were entirely right or wrong. To some extent, they were right by fromRead MoreDuBois and Washington on Education Essays1113 Words   |  5 Pagesbegan a debate over strategies for black social and economic progress, which is still prevalent today. Booker T. Washington believed that the role of education for African Americans should be an industrial one, where as W.E.B DuBois wanted African Americans to become engaged in a Liberal Arts education. Washingtons approach to solving the problems African Americans faced was rooted in his belief in an industrialRead MoreIs America A Post Racial Society?1431 Words   |  6 Pages Many individuals have argued that America is a post-racial society. However, as a nation that as yet to be achieved. Even though, we have a biracial president does not mean that we have yet to achieve the status of all races being equal. We still live in a system that contains one superior group while other racial groups remain inferior. The United states have yet to understand why we have two nations in America. In addition, examining how to combat and prevent those issues that are place by barriersRead MoreW.E.B Dubois View of Equality vs Frederick Douglass View of Equality1174 Words   |  5 PagesEquality W.E.B. Dubois had a better idea of equality than Frederick Douglass. Both of these civil rights leaders have lived and experienced a remarkable different life. Frederick Douglass was born into slavery. His mother was a slave and his father was a slave owner. W.E.B Dubois was born free and his parents were free African Americans. Douglass and Dubois education upbringing was a totally different experience. Douglass lived in the slave times. It was illegal to a slave to read and writeRead MoreRacial Discrimination : The United States1510 Words   |  7 PagesWe have issues: more specifically , the United States has issues, continuous and all-encompassing issues of racial inequality.The United States is experiencing a outburst of racism, as can be seen from the 2014 killings of two unarmed African-American men, to the brutality of white supremacy in Charleston and the string of arsons in black churches across the South. Of course, it’s nothing new for a nation with a long history of extreme racist violence—the most recent lynching-related death occurredRead MoreAnalysis Of James Coleman s Article On Equality Of Educational Opportunity1517 Words   |  7 PagesUniversity. Professor Coleman worked along side others to conduct a study with the goal of resolving the problems of equal educational opportunities. This report was published by the US Government, under the title â€Å"Equality of Educational Opportunity†. It is noted that the concept of â€Å"equality of educational opportunity† has changed drastically over the years. The research conducted used data collected from over 600,000 students and teachers across the U.S. in more than 3,000 schools. The results of this

Does Life Have a Meaning Essay - 3084 Words

Does Life Have a Meaning? Life, it might be argued, is the distinguishing feature of all organisms and may most usefully be thought of as involving various kinds of complex systems of organization providing individual organisms with the ability to make use of those energy sources available to them for both self maintenance and reproduction. Underlying this deceptively persuasive definition, however, lie those persistent traditional problems inherent in the search for an essential, distinctive substance characteristic of all forms of life. Additionally, as evolution theory makes clear, there is the problem of borderline instances, organisms of which it is not easy to say whether or not they may be defined as being alive. One such case†¦show more content†¦Vitalist notions that there is some feature of living organisms that prevents their natures being entirely explained in physical or chemical terms only have, as a consequence, been increasingly eclipsed. In vitalist doctrine, this mysterious additional feature may be argued to be the presence of a further entity, such as a soul, although it may also be explained as having to do with the existence in specific organisms of sets of conditions derived from their complexity and necessitating some form of life force or animal electricity injected in some way into inanimate bodies in order for them to become alive. In his expression of vitalism, Aristotle puts forward, in both De Anima and De Generatione, the view that the life of an animal consists in its psyche , thus offering a principle of explanation which determines the morphological development of an organism in terms of teleological causation. Although vitalism is currently perceived as having been largely overwhelmed by modern scientific thinking, there remain problems of some magnitude to which scientific solutions or explanations have yet to be found. These may be felt to support the criticism often levelled at science, that it is descriptive rather than analytical, that itShow MoreRelatedMeaning Of Life : Susan Wolf s Article, Happiness And Meaning : Two Aspects Of The Good Life Essay987 Words   |  4 PagesWhat is the meaning of life? What gives life meaning? Philosophers have asked these questions for decades, and there still is not a solid answer to the question. This paper will analyze one modern philosopher’s take on the question: What gives life meaning? Susan Wolf is a modern moral philosopher and philosopher of action and mind. She attended two Ivy League institutions for her undergraduate and graduate careers. Wolf received a Bachelor’s of Arts in Philosophy and Math from Yale University, andRe ad MoreWhat Is The Meaning of Life? Essay688 Words   |  3 Pagespeople’s lives. How does God, as an important human construct make a difference when determining the meaning of life? The western religions believe their scriptures are the direct word of God. Hence they use them as the authoritative source for many facets of life. Eastern religions tend to treat their scriptures as interpretations by humans, yet still many of life’s mysteries are accepted at truth in their scriptures. So should these scriptures be a foundation for the meaning of life? Also, what if weRead MoreEssay on Existential Philosphy1710 Words   |  7 PagesNihilism originated somewhere around the mid-1800s, it was a shift from the social philosophy around that time which viewed life with purpose and meaning which was found usually though God, or some religious doctrine, however Nihilism is the philosophy that dictates the meaninglessness in life; it leaves an empty and void existence. Nihilis m is usually associated with German philosopher Friedrich Nietzsche is often although not a Nihilist himself Nietzsche wrote a considerable amount concerning NihilismRead MoreExistentialism : Wild ( 2014 ) And Into The Wild1739 Words   |  7 Pagestherefore leading to meaning, purpose and identity. When Chris and Cheryl leave their family, friends and everything else they know from the society, they are attempting to find a meaning and purpose to their lives. Watching these two movies, I discovered that, both main characters need the Nature as a catalyst to regain their freedom, to find their true identity and to understand the meaning of their lives. To figure out the reason behind their existences, both decide to go a on a life changing adventureRead MoreSome Moral Minima by Lenn Goodman: An Analysis1096 Words   |  4 PagesIn his essay Some Moral Minima, Lenn Goodman (2010) attempts to challenge moral relativism by arguing that certain acts contain natural meanings, and subsequently that certain acts are inherently right or wrong, due to their natural moral meaning (p. 92). Goodman discusses a number of acts that he views as inherently wrong, including genocide, germ warfare, and rape, and purports to offer reasoned explanations for why these acts are wrong. However, upon examining Goodmans claims in detail, itRead MoreA Clean, Well-Lighted Place Essay1138 Words   |  5 PagesLife sucks, does it not? Life is nothing and everything in life is meaningless. Perhaps there are a few things that can distract the mind and guard from the inadequacies of life, but in the end all fades away. Nothing lasts forever. While all the somethings are dying and fading, nothing is still there. Sure, one can search for meaning and think happy thoughts, but throughout the struggle everyone is alone and slowly spiraling down the path to despair. In â€Å"A Clean, Well-Lighted Place,† HemingwayRead MoreBeloved, Civilization And Its Discontents, And Man s Search For Meaning1613 Words   |  7 Pages What does one live for? Why does one believe they exist? Many do not know the answer to these question. Meaning of life is what one lives for, what one lives by, why they exist.The meaning of life may be obvious to some, but a great number of people do not know why they live. Some believe they are here for a reason and some believe it is a mistake. Throughout life, some many suffer with life, which allows them to open their mind up to the meaning of life. Suffering is when one goes through painRead MoreIn The Book What’S It All About? Julian Baggini Discusses1678 Words   |  7 Pages In the book What’s It All About? Julian Baggini discusses philosophy and the meaning of life. This reading was able to bring different perspectives on ideas of the meaning of life that I thought about before. I was also able to learn about these concerns about life s meaning or meaninglessness in a philosophical standpoint. Some of the chapters that I found interesting included the chapters titled looking for the blueprint, here to help, and becoming a contender. In the chapter looking forRead MoreBusi 5601416 Words   |  6 Pagesabout life impact your sense of business ethics and personal decision-making? Again my personal view about my beliefs in life should be fully involve to where it is the foundation of business ethics, and decision making. Those things need to reflect in what I claim to believe in. 2. Does it seem odd to connect every belief we have about life back to what we believe about God? To me it does not seem odd to connect what I believe in with life, because knowing who the author of life allowsRead MoreThinking Of One’S Own Life As Having No Meaning Is A Difficult1244 Words   |  5 PagesThinking of one’s own life as having no meaning is a difficult prospect for many, however; in his book The Achievement Habit, author Bernard Roth considers it to be paramount to success. Bernard Roth is a highly regarded and decorated professor at the prestigious, Ivy League Stanford University. This declaration goes against the common beliefs of what many like-minded self-help books instruct their readers to do. In the initial line of the beginning paragraph in the first chapter of his book, Roth

Trends of Tourism System Analysis

Question: Discuss about the Trends of Tourism System Analysis. Answer: Introduction The adventure tourism involves exploration in the unusual and less known places of the wilderness. It also involves visiting to less explored and remote places. In this type of tourism the travelers indulge themselves to few of to risk activities, which is involved with thrilling experience. According to Varley, Taylor Johnson (2013), a tourist, who takes part in the adventure tourism, needs to be active in physical activity and able to have direct connection with the elements of the nature. They also need to have the ability to communicate of the people with wide range of cultures and have the capability of cultural awareness. The common types of adventurous tourism involve trekking, mountaineering, scuba diving, rafting, hiking, kayaking, bungee jumping and many more. The jungle safari and exploration into the forests are other types of adventure sports are also major types of adventure tourism. In the present days, the adventure tourism in Australia is considered to be one of the fastest growing industries, and its popularity among the travelers of all age has increased significantly. In the current report the current position of the adventure tourism industry of Australia is described. The future trends of this tourism are also mentioned with the help of descriptive scenario, which will help to predict the condition of the adventure tourism industry of Australia. Current Trends of the Tourism in Australia Australia is considered to be one of the popular destinations for the adventure tourism. From the Great Barrier Reef to the East coast dive trail in Tasmania and surfing in the beaches, Australia has several attractions for the adventure lovers. The Australian Alps is also one of the popular choices for the adventure tourist, which is considered to be one of the most challenging mountaineering trips of the world. The tourism industry is one of the prime components of the economy of the nation and it represents nearly 3% of the GDP of the nation. Even though the domestic tourism is the major components of the Australian tourism industry, the nation is also among the one popular destination of the foreign travelers. All over the world the adventure tourism is expanding at rapid rates, due to the fact that more tourists are willing to take the extra risks and enjoy the same. The adventure tourism at present is the fastest growing sectors with the tourism industry of Australia (Chon, 2013). Pestle Analysis With the help of the PESTEL analysis, it is possible to evaluate the current position of the adventure tourism in Australia. Political The stable political system within Australia has helped in the rapid growth of the adventure tourism industry of the nation. Morris Metternicht (2016), have mentioned about the fact about the stable condition of the political system has also encouraged the foreign tourists and thereby helping to boost the adventure tourism business. Butler et al. (2013), have added that the strict rules made by the government to help the foreign tourists have also helped to boost the business Economic The cost of the adventure sports and tourism is generally on the higher sides may not be afforded by easily by all common people. Nevertheless, with the help of the effective economic condition of the nation, and higher rate of income among the people, it is possible for the people to afford the high cost, which is involved in all adventure tourism. The adventure tourism being one of the promising areas of investment, many private and public enterprises have widely invested in this segment, which has also helped to improve the economic condition of this industry. Social The culture of the people of Australia is very much attracted towards the sports and adventurous types of lifestyle. The market research, about the adventure tourism industry suggests that the people of all age are willing to take the extra physical efforts that are involved in the adventure tourism. The multiple cultures of people in Australia have also helped to enhance the cultural diversity of the nation (Voigt Pforr, 2013). Technological The improvement of the technology also has a huge effect on the current condition of the adventure tourism. The use of technology has direct impact on the tourism business, as it helps in marketing and attracting stakeholders. The use of the technology also helps the adventure tourists in the guidance by acquiring information about the place they are visiting. The advanced use of technology in the modern days is one of the crucial driving forces of the adventure tourism of Australia. The use of technology can also help to have competitive advantage of the industry and thereby help to improve the business. Legal The legal matter related to the tourism industry ensures that there is no unethical business practice, which harms the reputation of the sector. The government of Australia has passed the Tourism Australia Act 2004, which was implemented to increase the level of responsibility among the tourist and also improve the relationship with tourists from all around the globe. The act also helps to improve the marketing of the international and domestic tourism in Australia ("Tourism Australia Act 2004", 2017). The growth of the Australian Adventure industry in the last five years is mainly due to the rise in the total number of adventure tourists. The depreciation of the value of Australian dollar has also encouraged the foreign tourists from all around the globe as cost of tourism has been lowered significantly. China is source of the largest international visitor in Australia. The value of the tourism industry of Australia is considered to be $123.7 billion Austrian dollar, which is expected to rise at a rate of 4%per year (Muskat Muskat, 2016). Hence, current scenario about the adventure tourism in Australia seems to be promising and is capable of boosting the economy of the nation. Environmental The tourism industry is widely dependent on the environment of an area and that affects the growth rate of the industry. Due to the effects of global warming and climate change, the natural wonders of Australia that are the sources of attraction for all the adventure tourists from all over the globe. The high rate of increase of human population of Australia has created a huge pressure on the natural resource of the nation. The lack of natural resource is one of the major areas of concerns for the adventure tourism industry (Goodall Ashworth, 2013). Description of three scenarios: The nation of Australia is full of natural wonders and hence, is one of the favorite sites of attraction of the tourists. Moreover, as most of the place of the nation seems are considered to be remote places, it is considered to be one of the favorite destinations for the adventure lovers. The local as well as the remote people of the region are also benefited as they get the chance of doing business. The adventure tour operators of the country will be easily able to attract client from both domestic and foreign regions. By the year of 2020, the tourism industry is expected to be providing employment to more number of people, thereby improving the economic condition and per-capita income of the nation. 10% of the total earnings from export of Australia are made from the adventure tourism (Hardiman Burgin, 2016). Effect on the Environment due to Adventure Tourism (Negative) (20 years) The environmentalists are highly concern about the future condition of the local biosphere, which is a matter of prime concerns. One of the fragile eco-system Australia, which is subject to matter of concern is the Great Barrier Reefs located in the Eastern coast of Australia. It is considered to be the biggest coral reefs of the world, and is the home for several of the marine spices. It is considered to be one of the popular destinations for the adventure tourists. Risk management in Adventure tourism (Medium) (25 years) There are different kinds of risks, which are associated with the tourism industry. The commercial types of risks are the ones, which occurs due to the crisis in the market of tourism industry. For example a political disturbance or an economic crisis the condition of the tourism industry can suffer due to decrease in the number of tourists. Natural disasters like storm and floods are also responsible for the poor business performance. Critical analysis of the future scenarios: the scenario development is one of the crucial tools that are being used in business for accessing the condition of future. It helps to predict the future trends of an industry depending upon the external market condition (Hardiman Burgin, 2016). This will help the stakeholders of the business to prepare for the expected future changes. As the future of the adventure tourism seems of have a better prospect, it is necessary to prepare effective planning and strategies for the future of the industry. Positive sides of Australian Adventure Tourism (Positive) (10 years) According to Morgan (2015), the growth of the adventure tourism in Australia will help to improve the economic condition of the local region. One of the major parts of the adventure tourism is exploring the unknown and remote places. Hence, with the popularity of the adventure tourism, it is possible to gather geographic and topographic condition of a place. At present, there are nearly 200,000 people, who are employed directly or indirectly with the tourism industry of Australia. For the adventure tourism, the people of remote area are benefitted as they can earn money from the tourist. People are encouraged to see the areas effectively and promote the environmental conservation. Due to the adventure tourism, the remote areas are developing with the lifestyle of the people of those regions. From the period of 2006-2016, the total number of registered adventure trips per year has increased several times. Hence, the organizations and firms, which are involved in the business related to adventure tourism, will have the opportunity to make significant profit. The government of Australia can also earn revenue in the form of taxation that is collected from the tourism (Tschapka Kern, 2014). The future political system of Australia needs to be stable enough, which will help to improve the future economical condition of the nation. With the help of the digital technology and online social media marketing, it is possible to raise the awareness within the adventure lovers about the popular attractive places of the nation. They can also promote about the resorts and hotels that are available in the particular places. Therefore, with the help of the digital marketing it is possible to boost the economical condition of the remote places and also improve the financial condition of those places (Lee, 2015). The future trends of the adventure tourism will help in the expansion of the industry, which is dependent on the rate of technological improvement. The social and the economical condition will witness significant progress. There are certain uncertainties that exist within the driving force of the external condition, which will help in the driving force of the adventure tourism industry. The global economic depression and financial crisis can delay the growth rate of the industry. Hence, the unpredictable economic condition of Australia can destroy the potential of business. The environmental factors are also one of the major reasons for uncertainty of the in the growth rate of the adventure tourism industry. The natural disasters can also disrupt the business of the adventure tourism industry (Green Wood 2015). With the help of future research it is possible to improve the condition of the adventure tourism industry of Australia. It is also possible discover new methods to improve the promotion activities related to the adventure tourism. Effect on the Environment due to Adventure Tourism (Negative) (20 years) One of the major negative effects that are associated with the adventure tourism is due to the environmental degradation that occurs due to increased number of people visiting a place. As several tourists start visiting and explore new areas, the local ecological balance of the area is destroyed. As more hotel and restore are established it creates all types of pollution in the local area (Imran, Alam Beaumont, 2014). As more people start visiting a local place, more number of automobiles that are used by the tourists causes air pollution in the area. Moreover, as the adventure tourism is mainly concentrated in the remote and less explored places, there is no chance of the railway transportation and hence, the tourists are totally dependent on the automobiles. Over development with the coastal strips built ecological problems for beautiful beaches in Australia like Gold Coast. Plants and shrubs are spoilt to make new houses and path for the tourist, which affects the environmental balance. Therefore, the biodiversity is also affected. Adventure tourism spoils the ecology of the wild life and natural environment of Australia. The reef is spread over an area of 300,000 square kilometers of area. At present nearly 2 million people visit this place and the government earns 2 million AUS dollar (Coles et al., 2015). The recent conducted study, which is conducted have shown that the reefs have suffered heavy loss due to the effect of climate change. As more number of people is doing reef walking and scuba diving, it is causing harm to the reefs as they are highly fragile. Moreover, as the reefs are highly sensitive to temperature, even a slight change can have the power destroy the reefs. It has the potential to destroy the all the marine creatures, which are dependent on the coral reefs. The subtropical rain forests of the Australian region are also destroyed due to the effects of global warming. The habitats of the grasslands are also disturbed due to the effects to the increased visits that are made by the adventure tourists in the wilderness. The sustainable tourism is the best solution to avoid the adverse effects that are associated with the adventure tourism. The main aim of the sustainable tourism is to use the eco-friendly ways to visit the destination of tourist attraction (Edgell, 2016). Risk management in Adventure tourism (Medium) (25 years) One of the prime areas of concern with the adventure tourism is the risks that are associated. It is the duty of the tour operating agency to define the risks, which will help them to take proper intervention steps to minimize the risks. The risk management is one of the prime components in all commercial adventure tours that are conducted in Australia (Williams BalÃ… ¾, 2013). The adventure tourisms are related with strict legal matters and it is the duty of the operator agency to follow the guidelines in strict manner. The partnership with the commercial firms and suppliers need to be done in proper legal manners. There is also the case of medical risks; which is dependent on the physical health condition of the tourist. Before going on a tour, the tourists must have a physical check up otherwise it may be risky to take the ill or weak tourists in the remote area. For example, one tourist may have allergic problem in forest area, which can trouble the tourist in remote area. It is essential to ensure that the individual, who is taking part in the adventure tours are fully fit as these trips require complete body fitness. The safety management during the adventure trips helps to ensure that in case of an accident, the individual can be given proper and quick medical treatment (Ritchie Reid, 2012). It is expected that the future of the adventure tourism will be safe for the travelers as the future equipments, will help them to deal with all the risky situations related to the adventure travels. Conclusion As the popularity and the concept of the adventure tourism are increasing, the business opportunity of the industry is increasing rapidly. The current scenario looks promising as people from all around the world prefer to choose Australia as their destination of adventure trips. In spite of the fact that the present scenario of the adventure tourism is promising, there are wide ranges of scopes, which will help to improve the business condition of the adventure tourism. It is the duty of the stakeholders, who are involved with the tourism department of Australia to incorporate the policies of sustainable development in order to sustain the local environment and protect the environment. 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